Wednesday, January 21, 2015

2015.01.21 Silver Cycle Model Chart

2015.01.21 Silver Cycle Model Chart

The silver cycle model is performing well, and continues to suggest higher prices into the Spring Equinox.  By chance, the predicted and actual price curve are coincident.  Note the Z-score approaching zero. I will make a long term silver cycle model chart and data available by the end of this week. Some previous iterations of the model are shown below and here on the blog.

2015.01.06 Silver Cycle Model Chart

2014.10.31 Silver Cycle Model Chart


Anonymous said...

Are you able to do this projections for lower time frames like four hourly ?

Paolo said...

I do not know since I have not attempted it. My gut feeling is that a structured cyclical model as used on longer term time series might not work well in very short time frames.