2014.02.14 Silver Cycle Model Chart

2014.02.14 Silver Cycle Model Chart

The silver cycle model continues to perform adequately, and suggests a peak in price over the next few weeks, followed by a low in the third quarter of 2014. I realize this is at odds with the gold cycle model because it suggests a much higher gold:silver ratio than the historical norm. The previous run of the model is shown below.

2014.01.17 Silver Cycle Model Chart

For your additional viewing pleasure, here is the longer term silver cycle model chart, which can also be found here.

2014.02.14 Long Term Silver Cycle Model Chart

2014.02.13 Gold Cycle Model Chart

2014.02.13 Gold Cycle Chart

The gold cycle model suggests gold prices are still heading towards a low in the March/April 2014 time frame. If the model continues to perform as it has in the past, the latest spike in prices should fall back down into the low, before resuming what should be a nice rise into the end of the year. Inquiring minds may want to ponder the discordant gold/silver cycle models for prices going forwards. Other than the obvious theory - that one of the models is wrong, I don't have a lot more to say about it. The results of the previous gold cycle model run are shown below.

2014.01.29 Gold Cycle Chart

2014.02.07 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart

XOI.X Cycle Model 2014.02.07

The Amex oil index model continues to suggest higher prices peaking mid-Summer 2014.  Currently, the predicted attractor curve is higher than the actual price. If the model performs as it has on a historical basis, it indicates some upward pressure on prices should be seen in the next few weeks.  For comparison purposes, here is the model from the previous run from 2013.12.06.

XOI.X Cycle Model 2013.12.06