2017.12.22 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart

2017.12.22 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart

The XOI.X cycle model continues to suggest higher levels for the index going forward into the Spring of 2018.  As can be seen from the previous iteration shown below and here on the blog, the level is increasing as predicted, suggesting perhaps a slow down of the annoying right phase shift, though there is still a large discrepancy between the predicted and actual curves.  In any case, lower levels for the index are highly unlikely going forward, if the model is correct.

2017.09.22 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart

2017.11.17 Gold Cycle Model Chart

2017.11.17 Gold cycle Model Chart

As it turned out, the rightward phase shift in the gold cycle model continued, and while it looks  highly unlikely that the gold price will drop below ~$1300 going into 2018, there is no guarantee that the right phase shift will end soon. 

2017.10.20 Silver Cycle Model Chart

2017.10.20 Silver Cycle Model Chart

The silver cycle model suggests a December peak for the silver price. The Z-score suggests a high probability of a short term rise in the silver price. Over the past year, a Z-score of ~2 has adequately predicted turning points. A previous iteration of the model is shown on the blog and below.

2017.08.25 Silver Cycle Model Chart