Econocasts

Sunday, November 19, 2017

2017.11.17 Gold Cycle Model Chart

2017.11.17 Gold cycle Model Chart

















As it turned out, the rightward phase shift in the gold cycle model continued, and while it looks  highly unlikely that the gold price will drop below ~$1300 going into 2018, there is no guarantee that the right phase shift will end soon. 

Sunday, October 22, 2017

2017.10.20 Silver Cycle Model Chart

2017.10.20 Silver Cycle Model Chart

















The silver cycle model suggests a December peak for the silver price. The Z-score suggests a high probability of a short term rise in the silver price. Over the past year, a Z-score of ~2 has adequately predicted turning points. A previous iteration of the model is shown on the blog and below.


2017.08.25 Silver Cycle Model Chart

Monday, September 25, 2017

2017.09.25 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart

XOI.X Cycle Model Chart


















The XOI.X cycle model may have ceased its right phase shift, and is predicting much higher prices for the index.  In support, the medium term model for USO is also pointing to higher prices.  The previous model run is shown below and here on the blog.


2017.05.12 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart