2016.07.29 Nasdaq Cycle Model Chart

2016.07.29 Nasdaq Cycle Model Chart

The Nasdaq cycle model phase shifted to the right since the last iteration in May, and now suggests a peak in the index at the beginning of September, 2016. A previous iteration of the model is shown below and here on the blog.

2016.05.28 Nasdaq Cycle Model Chart

2016.07.01 Silver Cycle Model Chart

2016.07.01 Silver Cycle Model Chart

The silver cycle model suggests that the silver price is ahead of the modeled curve prediction.  Usually, a divergence of this magnitude has tended to quickly reverse.  On the other hand, the model is also phase shifting, and it appears that the future silver price may be getting in line with the gold price cycle model. Note that the timing of reversals is relatively preserved, while the magnitude at the point of reversals is less predictable.  A previous iteration of the model is seen below and on the blog.

2016.06.06 Silver Cycle Model Chart

2016.06.24 Gold Cycle Model Chart

2016.06.24 Gold Cycle Model Chart

The gold cycle model has been performing reasonably well over the past few months. There is strong cyclical pressure for higher prices going into Summer and Fall. A reminder that these models are based on extraction of cycles based on historical data, and contain no information on "current events."  Previous iterations of the model are found below and on the blog.

2016.05.20 Gold Cycle Model Chart

2016.04.01 Gold Cycle Model Chart