2019.01.29 Silver Cycle Model Chart

2019.01.29 Silver Cycle Model Chart

The silver cycle model is suggesting a local maximum in the February/March 2019 time frame.  The previous run suggested an increase in silver price as shown below and here on the blog.

2018.12.14 Silver Cycle Model Chart

2019.01.25 Gold Cycle Model Chart

2019.01.25 Gold Cycle Model Chart

There is a hint here that the months long right phase shift may be on hold.  Much lower prices seem highly unlikely according to the decadal cycles, but we will have to see what happens in the next few months. Perhaps the Au market senses the end of QT.  A previous run of the model is shown below and here on the blog.  On the medium term model output page you can see that GLD has been on a buy since 2018.08.21.

2018.12.07 Gold Cycle Model Chart

2019.01.20 NASDAQ Cycle Model Chart

2019.01.18 NASDAQ Cycle Model Chart

With the usual caveat that equity based cycle models have less predictive value than their commodity based versions, this model seems to have captured the low in timing if not in magnitude, and is now suggesting a local maximum in the May, 2019 time frame. A previous run of the model is shown below and here on the blog.  The medium-term timing model still has NASDAQ on buy as shown here.

2018.11.21 NASDAQ Cycle Model Chart

2019.01.11 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart

2019.01.11 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart

The XOI.X cycle model appears to have predicted the timing of the local minimum, but not the magnitude, which is common for these cycle models.  Going forwards, the model suggests a rise in the index over the next 6 months, and that the probability of lower values for the index is quite low, even with the possibility of a right phase shift.  A previous run of the model is shown below and here on the blog.  The medium term model for USO is also on buy as of 2018.12.31, as seen here.

That said, I wish all readers a prosperous and healthy New Year!

2018.11.25 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart