2016.08.22 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart

2016.08.22 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart

The cycle model is exhibiting a right phase shift which has flattened the predictive curve. Nevertheless, the model suggests some upward pressure on prices going into the Fall and through the end of the year. A previous iteration of the model is shown below and here on the blog.

2016.06.03 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart

2016.08.19 NASDAQ Cycle Model Chart

2016.08.19 NASDAQ Cycle Model Chart

It is very unusual in this type of cycle model that the predictive price curve and actual price curve remain so tightly aligned over time. The model strongly suggests a turning point in the NASDAQ may occur in the September 1, 2016 time frame.  The previous iteration of the cycle model is seen below and here on the blog.

2016.07.29 NASDAQ Cycle Model Chart

 

2016.08.14 Silver Cycle Model Chart

2016.08.12 Silver Cycle Model Chart

The silver cycle model suggests that silver prices are looking towards a minor correction over the next few months.  As with the gold price cycle model, the rightward phase shift seems to have ended, and the model, for now, is in the groove, which is a meta-technical term. Note the correct prediction of a reversal when the Z-score approached -2.5.  A previous iteration of the model is shown below and here on the blog.

2016.07.01 Silver Cycle Model Chart

2016.08.12 Gold Cycle Model Chart

2016.08.12 Gold Cycle Model Chart

The gold cycle model seems to be "in the groove" as the right phase shifting of the predictive curve is played out at the moment. Readers may recall this is what occurred with the XOI.X model, which then proved to be fairly robust thereafter.  That said, recall the motto: "All models are wrong but some are useful."  A previous iteration of the model is shown below and here on the blog.

2016.06.24 Gold Cycle Model Chart