2016.01.22 DJIA Cycle Model Chart

2016.01.22 DJIA Cycle Model Chart

According to the cycle model, downward pressure on the DJIA will continue until the mid-February 2016 time frame. A previous iteration of the model is shown below and here on the date it was posted.

2015.06.12 DJIA Cycle Model Chart

2016.01.15 Gold Cycle Model Chart

2016.01.15 Gold Cycle Model Chart

The gold cycle model continues to phase shift forwards, also dragging the timing of the predicted bottom forward. Nevertheless, the model continues to suggest that the $1000 level will likely not be breached during the phase extension, if it continues. The previous iteration of the model is shown below and on the blog here.

2015.112.04 Gold Cycle Model Chart

2016.01.11 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart

2016.01.11 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart

Over the past couple of years, this has been a reasonably well-performing model. Currently, based on historical cycles, it is suggesting a very strong upward bias in the index. Looking at a run from about a year ago appearing below, posted in February of 2015, one can see that the timing of the minima of the predictive curve has extended forwards by about four months, which is well within the error of the model.

2015.02.06 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart

2016.01.08 DJIA Cycle Model Chart

2016.01.08 DJIA Cycle Model Chart

The DJIA cycle model continues to suggest lower prices for the index moving forward in 2016. Note the high Z-score in the previous iteration shown below. The model was first run in June, 2015 as shown below and on the blog.

2015.12.31 DJIA Cycle Model Chart

2015.06.12 DJIA Cycle Model Chart