2015.07.24 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart

2015.07.24  XOI.X Cycle Model Chart

The XOI.X index cycle model is performing well. The model is suggesting an upwards correction before the continued drop in index prices towards the low in the October/November 2015 time frame. A previous iteration of the model is shown below and here on the blog.

2015.07.17 DJIA Cycle Model Chart

2017.07.17 DJIA Cycle Model Chart

For new readers, please note that the previous DJIA cycle model failed, so all the usual caveats apply.  The previous iteration suggested slight upward pressure on the index, which has now resolved. Going forward, the model suggests increasing downward pressure on the index going into Fall, 2015. For this model on a historical basis, the absolute value of the Z-score >3 has been a good predictor of a reversal. A previous iteration of the model is shown below and here on the blog.

2017.06.12 DJIA Cycle Model Chart

2015.07.15 Gold Cycle Model Chart

2015.07.17 Gold Cycle Model Chart

The gold cycle model stubbornly suggests higher gold prices into the Fall, 2015. At the end of 2008, there was a similar period of time where the z-score was just over 4 and a reversal occurred. You can see this in the long term chart area. The previous iteration is shown below and here on the blog. 

2015.06.05 Gold Cycle Model Chart