Econocasts

Saturday, April 26, 2014

2014.04.25 Gold Cycle Model Chart

2014.04.25 Gold Cycle Model



















The gold cycle model suggests we may have passed an intermediate low for gold prices. Currently, the model is predicting a gold price of $1750 at the end of 2015. While this has been a good model thus far, I want to enter a caveat - which is that the silver cycle model does not corroborate it going forward, at least by historical gold:silver ratio.  You can find all the previous gold cycle models in the archives, and the last iteration is below.  Note I have changed the time scale and price scale to accommodate forward price action.


2014.03.20 Gold Cycle Model




















Saturday, April 5, 2014

2014.03.31 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart

2014.03.31 XOI.X Cycle Model


















The Amex oil index cycle model continues to perform well, and suggests a top in the index in the June, 2014 time frame. The previous iteration of the model output is shown below and here.


2014.02.28 XOI.X Cycle Model