2012.02.29 Monthly Long Term Predictions: DJIA $ Gold $ Silver

Happy Leap Day!  Gold  and silver have come back to the predicted curves today - the metal models were run with the London AM Fix for Wednesday, February 29, 2012. The DJIA model is still converging, but does not reflect reality.  I'm going to see what happens to it in the next month - though that's what I said last month!

The file used to generate the DJIA chart can be found here It covers the DJIA from 1900.01.02 to Leap Day..Please check my post below for additional details.

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2012.02.24 Weekly DJIA $ Gold $ Silver Predictions

At this rate, this project will turn into an academic exercise to see when the models refuse to converge. The DJIA has now broken all Z-score records since 1896!

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2012.02.17 Weekly DJIA $ Gold $ Silver Predictions

The next three are the weekly "Experimental Ultrashort" charts.

All the short term models are stretched to the limit, while the ultra short models suggest the volatile metals are at least following predicted volatility - unlike the ultra short DJIA, which is on a highly unpredictable short term track with respect to the model curve. Thus far, all the models continue to converge.
 I hope you all have a great weeekend!

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2012.02.11 Experimental Amex Oil Index

Please take these model curves for what they are - experimental and not validated.  It is simply amusing to continue the curve out to 2018.

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2012.02.10 Experimental DJIA $ Gold $ Silver Ultra Short-Term

Meanwhile, I've got a wavelet to catch! Have a great weekend!

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2012.02.03 Weekly Short Term DJIA $ Gold $ Silver

Strangely enough, all the models converged immediately.  This suggests that while the variance between models and reality is large, it is not large enough to compromise the models, yet.  This is what I meant when I said that the models are wrong in the right way. The Dow is almost reaching the 1929 divergence.

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