Friday, November 11, 2011

2011.11.11 Weekly Short Term DJIA $ Gold $ Silver

The quick convergence of all three models suggests that if they are wrong, they are wrong in the right way. On the other hand, if they are still predictive, they are all stretching to historical maxima. This suggests if there is a reversal, it will be quite steep.

Index / Actual / Predicted / Z-score
DJIA / 12153.68 / 11252.09 / -1.52
Gold / 1764.00 / 1582.93 / -4.67
Silver / 3377 / 2906 / -3.85

To save time, I will only post the long term predictions on a monthly basis, since week to week differences are trivial. If there is a major phase change in the model, as occurred with silver a while back, I will post it and note it. Have a great weekend!

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Wednesday, November 9, 2011

2011.11.08 Interim Short Term DJIA $ Gold $ Silver

All prices are close to historical extremes even after today.  If the past has any say, the actual price curves should now drop below the predictor curves.

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