2011.12.28 Interim Short Term DJIA $ Gold $ Silver

Index / Actual / Predicted / Z

DJIA / 12151.41 / 11279.06 / -1.47
Gold / 1584.00 / 1503.54 / -2.24
Silver / 2865 / 2813 / -0.50

I guess I might as well enjoy when the PM curves are closely convergent - since it probably will not last too long!

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2011.12.23 Weekly Short Term DJIA $ Gold $ Silver

Index / Actual / Predicted / Z-score

DJIA / 12294.00 / 11314.90 / -1.63
Gold / 1607.50 / 1512.43 / -2.62
Silver / 2922 / 2882 / -0.37

I have advanced the charts to start mid-2011 and end mid-2013. The prediction curves or "attractors" have a steep negative slope going forward.  If the models are correct, I would expect continued downward pressure on both precious metal and equity prices.

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2011.12.18 Experimental Amex Oil Index (XOI)

Actual / Predicted / Z-score
1170.19 / 1174.97 / 0.17


I have not kicked the tires on this model so it still rates as experimental. Originally I produced it as a favor to Zero_Sum from daneric's site. Here it is again, warts and all.

Previous iterations below:.

2011.10.12 - AMEX Oil Index (XOI.X)
2011.09.25 - AMEX Oil Index (XOI.X)
2011.09.14 - AMEX Oil Index (XOI.X)
2011.08.24 - AMEX Oil Index (XOI.X)


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2011.12.09 Weekly Short Term DJIA $ Gold $ Silver

Index / Actual / Predicted / Z-score

DJIA / 12184.26 / 11192.44 / -1.67
Gold / 1712 / 1585 / -3.32
Silver / 3200 / 2966 / -2.05

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2011.12.02 Weekly Short Term DJIA $ Gold $ Silver

Index / Actual / Predicted / Z-score
DJIA / 12019.42 / 11118.52 / -1.54
Gold / 1751.00 / 1544.00 / -5.36
Silver / 3315.00 / 2900.43 / -3.60


Visit econocasts.net for free sample trading model downloads.