The models are all converging immediately as I add new data, so I am not going to change anything unless they fail to converge, for the moment. We are coming up to a period where the predicted price for the DJIA assumes a more negative slope beginning in January of 2012. If the actual prices and predicted prices do not come into line at the end of that month, I may have to retire the model.
Thanks for the work. Is the model still under consideration for reworking?
ReplyDeleteThe models are all converging immediately as I add new data, so I am not going to change anything unless they fail to converge, for the moment. We are coming up to a period where the predicted price for the DJIA assumes a more negative slope beginning in January of 2012. If the actual prices and predicted prices do not come into line at the end of that month, I may have to retire the model.
ReplyDeleteHi.. Can you tell me what the yellow indicators are and what parameters are used to get the data for it? Thanks
ReplyDeleteThe Z-score is calculated as follows:
ReplyDelete2(Predicted - Actual)(Actual + Predicted)^-1 and a standardized score is computed from the above.
I like how its working out with the turns in charts.
ReplyDeleteThanks again
Mike