Econocasts

Friday, October 31, 2014

2014.10.31 Gold Cycle Model Chart

2014.10.31 Gold Cycle Model Chart

















The gold cycle model is predicting a very high probability of a turn to the upside in the next few weeks, based on the outlier Z-score greater than 3 "sigma.". If the reversal does occur, then gold prices should quickly rise to well above 1400 by the end of the year.  A previous iteration of the model is shown below and here on the blog.





2014.10.03 Gold Cycle Model Chart

Sunday, October 19, 2014

2014.10.17 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart

2014.10.17 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart


















The cycle model continues to suggest lower prices for the index beginning in 2015. According to the model, index price should stabilize around 1400 before the next drop to the 1300 area begins at the end of 2014.  A previous iteration of the model is shown here and below.



2014.02.07 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart

Monday, October 6, 2014

2014.10.06 Silver Cycle Model Chart

2014.10.06 Silver Cycle Model Chart



















The silver cycle model continues to perform adequately.  The model is suggesting a pseudocycle for silver where prices range from about 1500 to 2100 through the end of 2015. A previous iteration of the model is shown here and below.

2014.08.22 Silver Cycle Model Chart