2012.12.14 Monthly Amex Oil Index Cycle Chart

Here is the Amex Oil Index model. This model is the only one that remains unchanged from July, 2012.  It did not have any interest rate or unemployment data inputs and there may be a lesson in this. KISS.

2012.12.14 Monthly Gold Cycle Chart

Here is the new gold cycle model chart. As with the silver model, all cycles < 233 days were excluded from the analysis, as well as any cycle information obtained from outside the data series.

2012.12.14 Monthly Silver Cycle Chart

This is the new cycle model for silver. It has been pruned so that all data inputs are directly related to the time series and nothing else. All cycles with periods less than 233 days were also eliminated from the analysis because short-term fluctuations were much less helpful in decreasing error than has been the case in the past.  I'll see if I can update it at least monthly.