Saturday, January 26, 2019

2019.01.25 Gold Cycle Model Chart

2019.01.25 Gold Cycle Model Chart

















There is a hint here that the months long right phase shift may be on hold.  Much lower prices seem highly unlikely according to the decadal cycles, but we will have to see what happens in the next few months. Perhaps the Au market senses the end of QT.  A previous run of the model is shown below and here on the blog.  On the medium term model output page you can see that GLD has been on a buy since 2018.08.21.



2018.12.07 Gold Cycle Model Chart




Sunday, January 20, 2019

2019.01.20 NASDAQ Cycle Model Chart

2019.01.18 NASDAQ Cycle Model Chart

















With the usual caveat that equity based cycle models have less predictive value than their commodity based versions, this model seems to have captured the low in timing if not in magnitude, and is now suggesting a local maximum in the May, 2019 time frame. A previous run of the model is shown below and here on the blog.  The medium-term timing model still has NASDAQ on buy as shown here.



2018.11.21 NASDAQ Cycle Model Chart