tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.comments2023-06-20T04:55:27.614-04:00BESTPaolohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18005061596776141679noreply@blogger.comBlogger571125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-22712892631074117682020-07-22T12:57:31.086-04:002020-07-22T12:57:31.086-04:00Hi Paolo
Hope you are OK (healthwise).
At LAST i...Hi Paolo<br /><br />Hope you are OK (healthwise).<br /><br />At LAST it seems we got Liftoff ! ;)<br /><br />Cheers, DiegoDiegohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17995144175139565119noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-23487616047143456072020-02-17T06:32:51.334-05:002020-02-17T06:32:51.334-05:00I don't have time to keep up the medium-term m...I don't have time to keep up the medium-term model page since blogger now doesn't like excel generated html code. I have removed the page and apologize for any inconvenience.Paolohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18005061596776141679noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-13279534234164290462019-09-13T15:56:43.599-04:002019-09-13T15:56:43.599-04:00Hello Paolo,
Definitely looking forward to your n...Hello Paolo,<br /><br />Definitely looking forward to your new updates on Gold and Silver ;)<br /><br />Have a nice weekend.<br /><br />Thank you.<br />Cheers, DiegoDiegohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17995144175139565119noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-1724444694578119342019-09-05T04:53:34.301-04:002019-09-05T04:53:34.301-04:00Thank you sir.Thank you sir.Olcay ballihttps://www.blogger.com/profile/12307011152428391268noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-83409001923930357672019-06-27T03:24:17.264-04:002019-06-27T03:24:17.264-04:00Thank you Paolo!
Cheers, Diego.Thank you Paolo!<br />Cheers, Diego.Diegohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17995144175139565119noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-58967322738328522652019-06-24T16:58:22.422-04:002019-06-24T16:58:22.422-04:00Thank you Paolo.
Cheers, Diego.Thank you Paolo.<br />Cheers, Diego.Diegohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17995144175139565119noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-8366630361730451512019-06-20T17:06:54.561-04:002019-06-20T17:06:54.561-04:00Hello Paolo, I know there a not many comments but ...Hello Paolo, I know there a not many comments but I sure am waiting for your next Gold projection ;)<br />Thanks, Diego.Diegohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17995144175139565119noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-87806929757607686142019-01-28T19:21:01.013-05:002019-01-28T19:21:01.013-05:00Thank you very much, Amsterjam. I was not aware o...Thank you very much, Amsterjam. I was not aware of this work. What really got my attention is that the Hurst cycle periods that are mentioned align almost perfectly with some of the cycles discovered via Singular Spectrum Analysis - Multi-Taper Method, also known as SSA-MTM, which I used in the development of the cycle models. <br /><br />Thanks for sharing this!<br /><br />PaoloPaolohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18005061596776141679noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-38412998633058002392019-01-27T11:27:12.685-05:002019-01-27T11:27:12.685-05:00Thank you Paolo,
You might be interested in the fo...Thank you Paolo,<br />You might be interested in the following Hurst Cycle analysis on GOLD by Sentient Trader, here:<br />'Market Update - 9 November 2018 (Gold)' https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qwN7XHgTI9Q <br />Good luck, and thanks for sharing,<br />PaulAmsterjamhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07925216312164189085noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-85344451416802969222018-12-30T13:55:47.929-05:002018-12-30T13:55:47.929-05:00I have updated the neural network medium-term mode...I have updated the neural network medium-term model outputs. I removed GDXJ and added GLD, STK and VXX. The link is below. <br /><br />https://econocasts.blogspot.com/p/blog-page_5.html Paolohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18005061596776141679noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-81307122737285123192018-12-22T07:14:42.997-05:002018-12-22T07:14:42.997-05:00Thank you Paolo. Merry Holidays.Thank you Paolo. Merry Holidays.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-31299149549092727002018-09-18T03:05:07.281-04:002018-09-18T03:05:07.281-04:00Silver looks set to fall a lot further, currently ...Silver looks set to fall a lot further, currently at 14.10 an ounce, there seems little to prevent further falls. $13.50 looks likely, then $12.00 in quick succession.Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11757262890074926686noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-8690004777826132592018-09-18T03:03:21.629-04:002018-09-18T03:03:21.629-04:00Mid-Sept The price of gold is now teetering on the...Mid-Sept The price of gold is now teetering on the edge of $1,200 and looks set to fall further. The usual buying from India, however, does not seem to be materializing, so further falls look immanent.<br /><br />Could well be around $1,000 by December, unless something quite substantial happens to change the trend. Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11757262890074926686noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-76231790426397392732018-08-04T08:49:29.463-04:002018-08-04T08:49:29.463-04:00Thank you.Thank you.Diegohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17995144175139565119noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-89504422370343908592018-07-22T12:14:01.960-04:002018-07-22T12:14:01.960-04:00The shorter term model here http://econocasts.blog...The shorter term model here http://econocasts.blogspot.com/p/blog-page_5.html showed a sell signal on 2018.07.11. The cycle model is longer term, so it is possible that the cycle model continues to have a right shift. I will rerun the cycle model next week. Thanks for your comment.Paolohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18005061596776141679noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-16262254850047427322018-07-17T16:00:41.763-04:002018-07-17T16:00:41.763-04:00Today is 7/17/2018 and BRENT and WTI have had bad ...Today is 7/17/2018 and BRENT and WTI have had bad couple of days falling close to 10%. Have your model projections changed?Vic Akinhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00125165413556422528noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-28589233195732547342018-04-04T15:33:08.020-04:002018-04-04T15:33:08.020-04:00Hi Paolo,
Thank you as always for the updates.
N...Hi Paolo,<br /><br />Thank you as always for the updates.<br /><br />No comments = Sentiment is gone = this is the bottom<br /><br />Hope is not a trading strategy but that's what is left, right ? ;)<br /><br />Regards, DiegoDiegohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17995144175139565119noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-33935617903363252562018-03-22T05:53:37.243-04:002018-03-22T05:53:37.243-04:00Thanks for this wonderful post and hoping to post ...Thanks for this wonderful post and hoping to post more of this! Please Visit:<br /><br /><a href="https://www.efinancialmodels.com/2017/11/12/financial-modelling-pdf/" rel="nofollow">financial modelling pdf</a><br /><a href="https://www.efinancialmodels.com/2017/06/19/building-a-financial-model/" rel="nofollow">Building a Financial Model</a><br /><a href="https://www.efinancialmodels.com/2016/10/09/free-spreadsheet-templates/" rel="nofollow">finance excel template</a><br />eFinancial Modelshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15498270810451683000noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-78642504027250419172018-01-14T09:21:42.433-05:002018-01-14T09:21:42.433-05:00I made an error in the data input for gold, which ...I made an error in the data input for gold, which was incorporated both in the model and the chart. The data feed I use had the error, and it has been corrected. I also corrected it in the data input. The error was that the gold price for 2017.09.22 was actually 1297.00 rather than 1397.00. Hence the blip. I reran the model for data up to that time, and the effect was trivial on the predictive curve. Nevertheless, I apologize and will try to improve my quality checks on the input data going forwards.Paolohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18005061596776141679noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-19714316447123481592017-12-25T14:48:57.433-05:002017-12-25T14:48:57.433-05:00yes sentiment was very low for gold and hopefully ...yes sentiment was very low for gold and hopefully this rise will be significant and last for 2 or so months...ezkappdohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07423286659537202070noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-32837114688773358062017-12-24T19:50:53.613-05:002017-12-24T19:50:53.613-05:00seems all the models keep shifting Right -- watchi...seems all the models keep shifting Right -- watching the gold and silver too for awhile now...ezkappdohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07423286659537202070noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-20369405172772748282017-12-23T12:43:14.952-05:002017-12-23T12:43:14.952-05:00Thank you both and I wish you both a good holiday ...Thank you both and I wish you both a good holiday season. <br /><br />While the right phase shift is annoying, it does provide some information regarding the chances of a major shift opposite in polarity to the slope of the curve going forwards. <br /><br />For example, I found it useful that for gold, at one point, there were some predictions for a drop to the $800-$900 range by credible analysts, which were anti-cyclical by this model and never materialized.<br /><br />In gold's case, I think we are seeing a relatively long basing process with a lot of distribution but not much price change in relative terms. When the price does begin to move, if the model is somewhat useful, it should rise and not fall.<br /><br />Paolohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18005061596776141679noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-70345234358464357532017-12-19T23:11:48.212-05:002017-12-19T23:11:48.212-05:00Seems like all the models need to keep shifting to...Seems like all the models need to keep shifting to the right. Been doing that for a long time now....hope you have time for updates. thanks. Happy Holidays.ezkappdohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07423286659537202070noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-42279792549697908922017-11-23T13:21:28.625-05:002017-11-23T13:21:28.625-05:00Thanks for the updates Paolo.Thanks for the updates Paolo.Diegohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17995144175139565119noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-14763799046075897422017-06-27T23:50:08.616-04:002017-06-27T23:50:08.616-04:00I am expecting some continued rightward phase shif...I am expecting some continued rightward phase shift in the predictive curve. I was not clear about the issue when I posted so thanks for pointing it out.Paolohttps://www.blogger.com/profile/18005061596776141679noreply@blogger.com