tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post1150597689603652067..comments2023-06-20T04:55:27.614-04:00Comments on BEST: 2015.06.28 Silver Cycle Model ChartPaolohttp://www.blogger.com/profile/18005061596776141679noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-88528712284298331682015-07-14T03:47:15.342-04:002015-07-14T03:47:15.342-04:00Hmmm ... thinking of the divergence between the go...Hmmm ... thinking of the divergence between the gold and silver projections, I would like to suggest that some fusion may be closer to the truth. From a variety of other methodologies, from EW to conventional TA and cycles, I'm still expecting gold to fall to below $1100 inline with a low in crude oil and "maybe" a peak in equities around September.<br /><br />It all seems to hinge on the expected Fed rate hike in September, though the methods I've looked at don't explicitly take that into account (or should they given the massive biases introduced). Even the venerable although slightly permanently-bearish Solar Cycles is open to a further rally of sort into later this year.<br /><br />I do however wonder if indeed rising US rates is all that bad for US equities. Perhaps it could be seen as a sign of (relative) US economic strength that rates could be raised. The short trade seems too apparent and well-expected by the "market" as a whole, so a continuing bull market (however distasteful, disagreeable or even apparently illogical) is a possibility.<br /><br />Perplexing times ahead,<br /><br />Mr. AnonAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-2002376076380960278.post-45645764240935178952015-07-03T09:24:52.760-04:002015-07-03T09:24:52.760-04:00Hi Paolo...gold currently languishing at a z-score...Hi Paolo...gold currently languishing at a z-score of around -4/-5 on your model? The silver reversal timeline looks more like mid-july? Thanks!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com