Saturday, June 20, 2015

2015.06.19 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart

2015.06.19 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart

















The XOI.X cycle model is performing well, and suggests continued downward pressure on the index price. A previous iteration of the model is shown below and here on the blog. 


2015.02.06 XOI.X Cycle Model Chart

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Thanks for the update Paolo - the XOI model is looking great, especially with its impressive track record over the past several months.

Mr. Anon

Anonymous said...

Hi Paolo,

The XOI model is looking great and on-track for a significant low towards the end of this year, where I'll hopefully be prepositioned to take advantage via Brent crude as a proxy of sorts. I really appreciate you sharing this output; is there a longer term chart available or is the model unsuitable for such projections?

I especially like crude for a long trade from significant lows in that the risk-reward profile is asymmetric. Prices do have a floor (even if that is zero in the absolute extreme) but a weak ceiling (up until people just can't afford it at all), as it is indeed a physical commodity with associated infrastructure and underlying real demand (transportation needs). There is a certain inelastic portion of supply and demand, even though I cannot quantify it which makes the risk-reward asymmetric from relatively low levels.

Mr. Anon