Saturday, February 22, 2014

2014.02.21 VIX Cycle Model Chart

2014.02.21 VIX Cycle Model

The VIX cycle model has been suggesting that the VIX would rise into Spring, 2014 and that seems to be the case. Once again, the model cannot predict the magnitude of the "spikes" but it has performed reasonably well at predicting turning points.  The previous chart of the results of the model run is shown below.

2014.02.07 VIX Cycle Model

Sunday, February 16, 2014

2014.02.14 Silver Cycle Model Chart

2014.02.14 Silver Cycle Model Chart

The silver cycle model continues to perform adequately, and suggests a peak in price over the next few weeks, followed by a low in the third quarter of 2014. I realize this is at odds with the gold cycle model because it suggests a much higher gold:silver ratio than the historical norm. The previous run of the model is shown below.

2014.01.17 Silver Cycle Model Chart

For your additional viewing pleasure, here is the longer term silver cycle model chart, which can also be found here.

2014.02.14 Long Term Silver Cycle Model Chart